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Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World - Globalizing Economy, Demographics of Discord, New Players, Scarcity in the Midst of Plenty, Potential for Co
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913153Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World - Globalizing Economy, Demographics of Discord, New Players, Scarcity in the Midst of Plenty, Potential for Cohttps://www.gandhi.com.mx/b6bb223c-0da6-4657-8efb-9c4d85ee2f39/phttps://gandhi.vtexassets.com/arquivos/ids/845219/8d4caa6f-d60b-4caf-a92a-bde52f9b6cf8.jpg?v=638336453285100000218218MXNProgressive ManagementInStock/Ebooks/<p>Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World was prepared by the National Intelligence Council to stimulate strategic thinking about the future by identifying key trends, the factors that drive them, where they seem to be headed, and how they might interact. It uses fictionalized scenarios to illustrate some of the many ways in which the drivers examined in the study (e.g., globalization, demography, the rise of new powers, the decay of international institutions, climate change, and the geopolitics of energy) may interact to generate challenges and opportunities for future decisionmakers. The study as a whole is more a description of the factors likely to shape events than a prediction of what will actually happen.</p><p>By examining a small number of variables that we judge probably will have a disproportionate influence on future events and possibilities, the study seeks to help readers to recognize signposts indicating where events are headed and to identify opportunities for policy intervention to change or lock in the trajectories of specific developments. Among the messages we hope to convey are: If you like where events seem to be headed, you may want to take timely action to preserve their positive trajectory. If you do not like where they appear to be going, you will have to develop and implement policies to change their trajectory. For example, the reports examination of the transition out of dependence on fossil fuels illustrates how different trajectories will entail different consequences for specific countries. An even more important message is that leadership matters, no trends are immutable, and that timely and well-informed intervention can decrease the likelihood and severity of negative developments and increase the likelihood of positive ones. Global Trends 2025 is the fourth installment in the National Intelligence Council-led effort to identify key drivers and developments likely to shape world events a decade or more in the future.</p><p>Contents More Change than Continuity Alternative Futures Chapter 1: The Globalizing Economy Back to the Future Growing Middle Class State Capitalism: A Post-Democratic Marketplace Rising in the East? Bumpy Ride in Correcting Current Global Imbalances Multiple Financial Nodes Diverging Development Models, but for How Long? Chapter 2: The Demographics of Discord Populations Growing, Declining, and Diversifyingat the Same Time The Pensioner Boom: Challenges of Aging Populations Persistent Yo909848Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World - Globalizing Economy, Demographics of Discord, New Players, Scarcity in the Midst of Plenty, Potential for Co218218https://www.gandhi.com.mx/b6bb223c-0da6-4657-8efb-9c4d85ee2f39/phttps://gandhi.vtexassets.com/arquivos/ids/845219/8d4caa6f-d60b-4caf-a92a-bde52f9b6cf8.jpg?v=638336453285100000InStockMXN99999DIEbook20129781476202747_W3siaWQiOiI5ZTUyYTBlZC03MTgxLTQwM2QtYjJjMC03OTkxMWI4NTlkMDgiLCJsaXN0UHJpY2UiOjIxOCwiZGlzY291bnQiOjAsInNlbGxpbmdQcmljZSI6MjE4LCJpbmNsdWRlc1RheCI6dHJ1ZSwicHJpY2VUeXBlIjoiSXBwIiwiY3VycmVuY3kiOiJNWE4iLCJmcm9tIjoiMjAyNC0wNS0yMFQwOTowMDowMFoiLCJyZWdpb24iOiJNWCIsImlzUHJlb3JkZXIiOmZhbHNlfV0=9781476202747_<p>Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World was prepared by the National Intelligence Council to stimulate strategic thinking about the future by identifying key trends, the factors that drive them, where they seem to be headed, and how they might interact. It uses fictionalized scenarios to illustrate some of the many ways in which the drivers examined in the study (e.g., globalization, demography, the rise of new powers, the decay of international institutions, climate change, and the geopolitics of energy) may interact to generate challenges and opportunities for future decisionmakers. The study as a whole is more a description of the factors likely to shape events than a prediction of what will actually happen.</p><p>By examining a small number of variables that we judge probably will have a disproportionate influence on future events and possibilities, the study seeks to help readers to recognize signposts indicating where events are headed and to identify opportunities for policy intervention to change or lock in the trajectories of specific developments. Among the messages we hope to convey are: If you like where events seem to be headed, you may want to take timely action to preserve their positive trajectory. If you do not like where they appear to be going, you will have to develop and implement policies to change their trajectory. For example, the reports examination of the transition out of dependence on fossil fuels illustrates how different trajectories will entail different consequences for specific countries. An even more important message is that leadership matters, no trends are immutable, and that timely and well-informed intervention can decrease the likelihood and severity of negative developments and increase the likelihood of positive ones. Global Trends 2025 is the fourth installment in the National Intelligence Council-led effort to identify key drivers and developments likely to shape world events a decade or more in the future.</p><p>Contents More Change than Continuity Alternative Futures Chapter 1: The Globalizing Economy Back to the Future Growing Middle Class State Capitalism: A Post-Democratic Marketplace Rising in the East? Bumpy Ride in Correcting Current Global Imbalances Multiple Financial Nodes Diverging Development Models, but for How Long? Chapter 2: The Demographics of Discord Populations Growing, Declining, and Diversifyingat the Same Time The Pensioner Boom: Challenges of Aging Populations Persistent Youth Bulges Changing Places: Migration, Urbanization, and Ethnic Shifts Demographic Portraits: Russia, China, India, and Iran Chapter 3: The New Players Rising Heavyweights: China and India Other Key Players Up-and-Coming Powers Global Scenario I: A World Without the West Chapter 4: Scarcity in the Midst of Plenty? The Dawning of a Post-Petroleum Age? The Geopolitics of Energy Water, Food, and Climate Change Global Scenario II: October Surprise Chapter 5: Growing Potential for Conflict A Shrinking Arc of Instability by 2025? Growing Risk of a Nuclear Arms Race in the Middle East New Conflicts Over Resources? Terrorism: Good and Bad News Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Iraq: Local Trajectories and Outside Interests Global Scenario III: BRICs Bust-Up Chapter 6: Will the International System Be Up to the Challenges? Multipolarity without Multilateralism How Many International Systems? A World of Networks Global Scenario IV: Politics is Not Always Local Chapter 7: Power-Sharing in a Multipolar World Demand for US Leadership Likely to Remain Strong, Capacities Will Shrink New Relationships and Recalibrated Old Partnerships Less Financial Margin of Error More Limited Military Superiority Leadership Will Be Key</p>...(*_*)9781476202747_<p>Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World was prepared by the National Intelligence Council to stimulate strategic thinking about the future by identifying key trends, the factors that drive them, where they seem to be headed, and how they might interact. It uses fictionalized scenarios to illustrate some of the many ways in which the drivers examined in the study (e.g., globalization, demography, the rise of new powers, the decay of international institutions, climate change, and the geopolitics of energy) may interact to generate challenges and opportunities for future decisionmakers. The study as a whole is more a description of the factors likely to shape events than a prediction of what will actually happen.</p><p>By examining a small number of variables that we judge probably will have a disproportionate influence on future events and possibilities, the study seeks to help readers to recognize signposts indicating where events are headed and to identify opportunities for policy intervention to change or lock in the trajectories of specific developments. Among the messages we hope to convey are: "If you like where events seem to be headed, you may want to take timely action to preserve their positive trajectory. If you do not like where they appear to be going, you will have to develop and implement policies to change their trajectory." For example, the reports examination of the transition out of dependence on fossil fuels illustrates how different trajectories will entail different consequences for specific countries. An even more important message is that leadership matters, no trends are immutable, and that timely and well-informed intervention can decrease the likelihood and severity of negative developments and increase the likelihood of positive ones. Global Trends 2025 is the fourth installment in the National Intelligence Council-led effort to identify key drivers and developments likely to shape world events a decade or more in the future.</p><p>Contents More Change than Continuity Alternative Futures Chapter 1: The Globalizing Economy Back to the Future Growing Middle Class State Capitalism: A Post-Democratic Marketplace Rising in the East? Bumpy Ride in Correcting Current Global Imbalances Multiple Financial Nodes Diverging Development Models, but for How Long? Chapter 2: The Demographics of Discord Populations Growing, Declining, and Diversifyingat the Same Time The Pensioner Boom: Challenges of Aging Populations Persistent Youth Bulges Changing Places: Migration, Urbanization, and Ethnic Shifts Demographic Portraits: Russia, China, India, and Iran Chapter 3: The New Players Rising Heavyweights: China and India Other Key Players Up-and-Coming Powers Global Scenario I: A World Without the West Chapter 4: Scarcity in the Midst of Plenty? The Dawning of a Post-Petroleum Age? The Geopolitics of Energy Water, Food, and Climate Change Global Scenario II: October Surprise Chapter 5: Growing Potential for Conflict A Shrinking Arc of Instability by 2025? Growing Risk of a Nuclear Arms Race in the Middle East New Conflicts Over Resources? Terrorism: Good and Bad News Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Iraq: Local Trajectories and Outside Interests Global Scenario III: BRICs Bust-Up Chapter 6: Will the International System Be Up to the Challenges? Multipolarity without Multilateralism How Many International Systems? A World of Networks Global Scenario IV: Politics is Not Always Local Chapter 7: Power-Sharing in a Multipolar World Demand for US Leadership Likely to Remain Strong, Capacities Will Shrink New Relationships and Recalibrated Old Partnerships Less Financial Margin of Error More Limited Military Superiority Leadership Will Be Key</p>...9781476202747_Progressive Managementlibro_electonico_b6bb223c-0da6-4657-8efb-9c4d85ee2f39_9781476202747;9781476202747_9781476202747Progressive ManagementInglésMéxicohttps://getbook.kobo.com/koboid-prod-public/smashwords-epub-34da08b0-7ae3-460d-8d3f-6e452934bb56.epub2012-08-15T00:00:00+00:00Progressive Management