The Black Swan: Second Edition

Name: The Black Swan: Second Edition
Brand: Random House Publishing Group
SKU: 2080633

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2248818The Black Swan: Second Editionhttps://www.gandhi.com.mx/the-black-swan-second-edition/phttps://gandhi.vtexassets.com/arquivos/ids/1874288/a5633f62-3bd8-48fe-9948-daab4699472d.jpg?v=638342105029600000251349MXNRandom House Publishing GroupInStock/Ebooks/The most influential book of the past seventy-five years: a groundbreaking exploration of everything we know about what we dont know, now with a new section called On Robustness and Fragility.A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives.Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we dont know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the impossible.For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb will change the way you look at the world, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a landmark bookitself a black swan....2080633The Black Swan: Second Edition251349https://www.gandhi.com.mx/the-black-swan-second-edition/phttps://gandhi.vtexassets.com/arquivos/ids/1874288/a5633f62-3bd8-48fe-9948-daab4699472d.jpg?v=638342105029600000InStockMXN99999DIEbook20109780679604181_W3siaWQiOiI1MzVlMTRjYy05YTExLTQzY2MtYjYxMS04N2FlYzA3MzdjNDEiLCJsaXN0UHJpY2UiOjMyNywiZGlzY291bnQiOjc1LCJzZWxsaW5nUHJpY2UiOjI1MiwiaW5jbHVkZXNUYXgiOnRydWUsInByaWNlVHlwZSI6Ildob2xlc2FsZSIsImN1cnJlbmN5IjoiTVhOIiwiZnJvbSI6IjIwMjUtMDItMDVUMDg6MDA6MDBaIiwicmVnaW9uIjoiTVgiLCJpc1ByZW9yZGVyIjpmYWxzZX1d9780679604181_The most influential book of the past seventy-five years: a groundbreaking exploration of everything we know about what we dont know, now with a new section called On Robustness and Fragility.A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives.Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we dont know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the impossible.For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb will change the way you look at the world, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a landmark bookitself a black swan....9780679604181_Random House Publishing Grouplibro_electonico_8c3e37d6-9e11-42c7-aeb3-bb47995d0a2b_9780679604181;9780679604181_9780679604181Nassim NicholasInglésMéxicohttps://getbook.kobo.com/koboid-prod-public/RandomHouse-epub-cbd15c7f-fc38-4a3f-95b8-2dea389c491e.epub2010-05-11T00:00:00+00:00Random House Publishing Group